A Structured System for Smarter Sports Analysis
Quantitative models. Transparent record. Risk-managed position recommendations — posted before tip-off, logged forever.
All-Time Units
+61.7u
All-Time Record
933–784–33
All-Time Win Rate
53.3%
✓ 933–784 all-time record · 53.3% all-time win rate on Rage Picks · All picks timestamped before game time
Irish @ Heels
North Carolina
Spread 21.5
Why This Has Edge
- Positive EV Model Edge: RAGE Model evaluates North Carolina with a 58.8% cover probability baseline versus the market's 55.4% implied price (+124/spread), unlocking a +3.4% +EV differential on taking UNC +21.5.
- Massive Point-Spread Cushion: Laying 21.5 points provides significant key-number protection (crossing 21, 17, and 14 thresholds) for a Tar Heels squad holding opponents to 13.6 PPG at home.
Today’s Full Board Includes
- 1 additional edge on today’s slate
- Conviction scores & model win probabilities
- Market movement tracking
Full slate & edge report · Cancel anytime
Recent Wins
| Date | Game | Pick | Market | Odds | Margin | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | NCAAF · Penn State Nittany Lions @ Northwestern Wildcats | Over 45.5 | Total (O/U) | -143 | +1.5 | B+ |
| 2026-10-02 | MMA · Ahmed El Sisy @ Mohammad Fahmi | Mohammad Fahmi | Moneyline | -120 | +0.5 | B |
| 2026-10-02 | WTA · Katie Boulter @ Karolina Muchova | Karolina Muchova -5.5 | Spread | -105 | +0.5 | B+ |
| 2026-10-01 | NCAAF · Western Kentucky Hilltoppers @ New Mexico State Aggies | Under 56.5 | Total (O/U) | -110 | +9.5 | B |
| 2026-10-01 | NCAAF · Western Kentucky Hilltoppers @ New Mexico State Aggies | New Mexico State Aggies | Moneyline | -135 | +21.0 | B |
| 2026-09-30 | NHL · Los Angeles Kings @ Colorado Avalanche | Over 6.5 | Total (O/U) | +110 | +5.5 | B+ |
| 2026-09-30 | SOCCER · St. Louis City SC @ New York Red Bulls | St. Louis City SC | Moneyline | -115 | +3.0 | B |
⚙️ Not Picks. A System.
Most sports fans lose because they act on gut instinct. RagePicks runs quantitative models across lines, totals, and game winners — identifying statistically significant +EV opportunities before the market closes. Every recommendation is timestamped, every result recorded. No narrative, no deletes, no excuses.
FAQ
Is this free?
Yes — one free pick per day, always. Subscribe for the full slate.
What is +EV analysis?
+EV analysis (positive expected value) describes when a model’s estimated win probability exceeds what the posted odds imply. RagePicks models flag lines that may be mispriced relative to our inputs — not guaranteed winners. Past picks and models do not promise future results. Learn how our models work →
How does the quantitative model identify edges?
Our models analyze lines, totals, and game winners across major sports markets, incorporating historical trends, market movement tracking, and contextual game data to identify statistically significant +EV opportunities before the market closes. Dive deeper into our methodology →
Are losses ever deleted?
Never. Every result — wins, losses, and pushes — is permanently recorded. Full pick history is public on the history page and the performance dashboard for per sport filtering result margins.
What sports do you cover?
NBA, WNBA, NFL, NCAAB, NCAAF, NHL, MLB, UFC, BOXING, SOCCER (WP, MLS), and TENNIS (ATP, WTA)
What does R.A.G.E. stand for?
Risk-managed · Actionable · Graded Edge. See how the model works →